Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 8.093694 9.421156 10.850355 12.497903 14.338978 16.327200 18.630770
2025-03-30 6.358897 8.064616 10.022996 12.418669 15.250099 18.469530 22.385371
2025-04-06 5.291302 7.219416 9.555656 12.555200 16.261544 20.647280 26.181692
2025-04-13 4.506210 6.565882 9.183539 12.688039 17.184404 22.684023 29.835487
2025-04-20 3.992638 6.168813 9.053201 13.056651 18.359351 25.026317 33.911789
2025-04-27 3.540647 5.782425 8.872721 13.306254 19.349716 27.136409 37.741050
2025-05-04 3.088415 5.329627 8.540524 13.296462 19.958695 28.741993 40.946127
2025-05-11 2.552438 4.678256 7.853199 12.717736 19.728975 29.193704 42.616222
2025-05-18 2.200842 4.263673 7.463137 12.515483 19.982005 30.270512 45.119809
2025-05-25 1.881782 3.857551 7.040814 12.220177 20.063930 31.088848 47.270748
2025-06-01 1.638171 3.545561 6.731615 12.062306 20.319234 32.136729 49.747465
2025-06-08 1.399491 3.208123 6.345335 11.747221 20.308082 32.785315 51.662894
2025-06-15 1.253729 3.025492 6.202829 11.812177 20.878346 34.298072 54.862966
2025-06-22 1.108105 2.821848 6.002868 11.763606 21.260914 35.537888 57.696001
2025-06-29 1.007147 2.693816 5.923403 11.906165 21.943177 37.236546 61.234948
2025-07-06 0.915924 2.572727 5.843816 12.038620 22.607666 38.920986 64.789350
2025-07-13 0.860946 2.523259 5.892712 12.394407 23.645129 41.198980 69.277784
2025-07-20 0.797733 2.445635 5.879310 12.634865 24.496286 43.208200 73.405581
2025-07-27 0.714847 2.308388 5.734984 12.625891 24.923403 44.562225 76.566854
2025-08-03 0.590887 2.047023 5.312398 12.070828 24.389689 44.375595 77.356492
2025-08-10 0.513808 1.891086 5.091579 11.876906 24.462704 45.147385 79.631277
2025-08-17 0.439446 1.727094 4.835261 11.593733 24.359875 45.623219 81.445302
2025-08-24 0.383344 1.603088 4.653500 11.442368 24.479795 46.458460 83.835559